Transmission potential of COVID-19 in South Korea
Eunha Shim, Amna Tariq, Wongyeong Choi, Yiseul Lee, Gerardo Chowell
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.27.20028829
Abstract
Since the first identified individual of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection on Jan 20, 2020 in South Korea, the number of confirmed cases rapidly increased. As of Feb 26, 2020, 1,261 cases of COVID-19 including 12 deaths were confirmed in South Korea. Using the incidence data of COVID-19, we estimate the reproduction number at 1.5 (95% CI: 1.4-1.6), which indicates sustained transmission and support the implementation of social distancing measures to rapidly control the outbreak.
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